Gusaba ubusumbane hamwe nibibazo bitangwa nicyorezo cyumwaka ushize biracyashyira ingufu mubucuruzi bwihuza. Mugihe 2024 yegereje, izi mpinduka zabaye nziza, ariko ibintu bidashidikanywaho hamwe niterambere ryiterambere rya tekinoloji rihindura ibidukikije. Ibizaza mu mezi make ari imbere nibi bikurikira.
Urwego rwihuza rufite amahirwe menshi ningorane mugihe dutangiye umwaka mushya. Urunani rutanga igitutu rwintambara zisi yose mubijyanye no kuboneka hamwe nuburyo bwo kohereza. Inganda ariko ziterwa no kubura abakozi, cyane cyane muri Amerika ya ruguru no mu Burayi.
Ariko harakenewe byinshi kumasoko menshi. Amahirwe mashya arimo gushyirwaho no kohereza ibikorwa remezo birambye byingufu na 5G. Ibikoresho bishya bijyanye no gukora chip bizatangira gukora. Guhanga udushya mu nganda zikorana niterambere ririmo gutezwa imbere niterambere rishya ryikoranabuhanga rishya, kandi kubwibyo, ibisubizo bishya bihuza bifungura inzira nshya zo kugera ku buhanga bwa elegitoroniki.
Inzira eshanu zigira ingaruka kubahuza muri 2024
Icyifuzo cyibanze kubishushanyo mbonera no gusobanura mubikorwa byose. Ibishushanyo mbonera byagize uruhare runini mu gutuma ibicuruzwa bishushanya kugera ku bikorwa bitangaje ndetse no kugabanya ingano mu muvuduko wihuse. Icyiciro cyose cyibicuruzwa kirahinduka bitewe no gukoresha ikoreshwa ryikwirakwizwa, igikoresho gihujwe, nacyo kigenda gihindura buhoro buhoro imibereho yacu. Iyi nzira yo kugabanuka ntabwo igarukira gusa kuri electronike nto; ibintu binini nk'imodoka, icyogajuru, n'indege nabyo birabyungukiramo. Ntibishobora gusa kuba bito, byoroshye kugabanya imitwaro, ariko birashobora no gufungura inzira yo kugenda kure kandi byihuse.
Guhitamo
Mugihe ibihumbi n'ibihumbi bisanzwe, bitangaje bitandukanye bya COTS byagaragaye nkigisubizo cyibihe birebire byiterambere ndetse nigiciro kinini kijyanye nibicuruzwa byabigenewe, tekinolojiya mishya nko kwerekana imiterere ya digitale, icapiro rya 3D, hamwe na prototyping yihuse byatumye abashushanya gukora ibicuruzwa bitunganijwe neza, kimwe-cy-ubwoko bwibice byihuse kandi bihendutse.
Mugusimbuza igishushanyo cya IC gisanzwe hamwe nubuhanga bushya buhuza chip, amashanyarazi, hamwe nubukanishi mubikoresho bipakiye hamwe, gupakira neza bifasha abashushanya gusunika imbibi zamategeko ya Moore. Inyungu zingenzi zikorwa zirimo kugerwaho hifashishijwe 3D IC, moderi nyinshi-chip, sisitemu-muri-paki (SIP), nibindi bishushanyo mbonera bipfunyika.
Ibikoresho bishya
Ubumenyi bwa siyansi bukubiyemo gukemura ibibazo by’inganda n’ibisabwa ku isoko, nko gukenera ibicuruzwa bifite umutekano ku bidukikije ndetse n’ubuzima bw’abantu, ndetse n’ibisabwa kugira ngo ibinyabuzima bibangikanye n’ibinyabuzima, igihe kirekire, no kugabanya ibiro.
Ubwenge bwa artificiel
Kwinjiza imiterere ya AI ibyara umusaruro muri 2023 byateje impagarara mubijyanye na tekinoroji ya AI. Kugeza 2024, ikoranabuhanga rizakoreshwa mugushushanya ibice kugirango dusuzume sisitemu n'ibishushanyo, gukora iperereza ku miterere y'ibishya, no gukora neza no gukora neza. Urwego rwihuza ruzaba rwongerewe igitutu kugirango rutezimbere ibisubizo bishya, birambye bitewe nibisabwa cyane kubikorwa byihuta bisabwa kugirango dushyigikire izi serivisi.
Ibyiyumvo bivanze kubyerekeranye na 2024
Guteganya guhanura ntabwo byoroshye, cyane cyane mugihe hari byinshi byimari na geopolitike. Ni muri urwo rwego, guhanura ibihe bizaza mu bucuruzi ntibishoboka. Nyuma y’icyorezo, ibura ry’abakozi rirakomeje, ubwiyongere bwa GDP buragabanuka mu bukungu bw’isi yose, kandi amasoko y’ubukungu aracyahungabana.Nubwo ibibazo byo gutanga amasoko ku isi byateye imbere ku buryo bugaragara bitewe no kongera ubushobozi bwo gutwara no gutwara amakamyo, haracyari imbogamizi zimwe na zimwe zizanwa n’ibibazo bitoroshye birimo ikibazo cy’ibura ry’abakozi n’amakimbirane mpuzamahanga.
Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, birasa nkaho ubukungu bwisi bwarushije abahanuzi benshi mu 2023, butanga inzira yo gukomera 2024. Muri 2024,Musenyeri & Abagenziiteganya ko Umuhuza azakura neza. Inganda zihuza zagiye ziyongera muri rusange hagati yumubare muto-umwe-umwe, hamwe nibisabwa byiyongera nyuma yumwaka wo kugabanuka.
Ubushakashatsi
Ubucuruzi bwo muri Aziya bugaragaza ejo hazaza h'umwijima. Nubwo habaye ibikorwa byinshi mu mpera zumwaka, bikaba bishobora kwerekana ko byateye imbere mu 2024, kugurisha ku isi hose byari byifashe neza mu 2023. Ugushyingo 2023 byiyongereyeho 8.5% by’ibitabo, inganda zikaba zimaze ibyumweru 13.4, hamwe na igicuruzwa-cyoherejwe cya 1.00 mu Gushyingo bitandukanye na 0.98 kumwaka. Ubwikorezi nigice cyisoko gifite iterambere ryinshi, kuri 17.2 ku ijana umwaka ushize; ibinyabiziga bikurikiraho kuri 14,6 ku ijana, naho inganda ziri 8.5 ku ijana. Ubushinwa bwagize umuvuduko mwinshi mu mwaka-mwaka mu gutumiza mu bice bitandatu. Nubwo bimeze bityo, ibisubizo byumwaka kugeza ubu biracyari bibi muri buri karere.
Isesengura ryuzuye ryimikorere yinganda zihuza mugihe cyigihe cyo gukira icyorezo gitangwa muriIhuriro rya Musenyeri Inganda ziteganijwe 2023–2028,ikubiyemo raporo yuzuye yo muri 2022, isuzuma ryibanze ryo muri 2023, hamwe na projection irambuye yo muri 2024 kugeza 2028.Kwumva neza urwego rwa elegitoroniki urashobora kugerwaho mugusuzuma ibicuruzwa byahujwe nisoko, geografiya, nicyiciro cyibicuruzwa.
Indorerezi zerekana ko
1. Hateganijwe ko umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bwa 2,5 ku ijana, biteganijwe ko Uburayi buzazamuka ku mwanya wa mbere mu 2023 ariko nk’ubwiyongere bwa kane ku ijana mu 2022 mu turere dutandatu.
2. Kugurisha ibyuma bya elegitoronike biratandukanye mugice cyisoko. Biteganijwe ko urwego rwitumanaho / datacom ruzatera imbere ku buryo bwihuse mu 2022-9.4% - bitewe n’ikoreshwa rya interineti ryiyongera ndetse n’ingamba zikomeje gushyirwa mu bikorwa 5G. Urwego rw'itumanaho / datacom ruzaguka ku kigero cyihuse cya 0.8% muri 2023, ariko, ntiruzatera imbere nk'uko byagenze muri 2022.
3. Inganda zo mu kirere za gisirikare ziteganijwe kuzamuka kuri 0,6% mu 2023, zikurikirana cyane urwego rw’itumanaho datacom. Kuva mu mwaka wa 2019, urwego rwa gisirikare n’ikirere rwakomeje kwiganza ku masoko akomeye harimo n’imodoka n’inganda. Ikibabaje ariko, ni uko imidugararo iriho ku isi yazanwe no gukoresha amafaranga mu gisirikare no mu kirere.
4. Muri 2013, amasoko yo muri Aziya - Ubuyapani, Ubushinwa, na Aziya-Pasifika - byagize 51.7% by’igurisha ry’isi yose, Amerika y'Amajyaruguru n'Uburayi bingana na 42.7% by'ibicuruzwa muri rusange. Biteganijwe ko igurishwa ry’isi yose mu mwaka w’ingengo y’imari 2023 rizabazwa na Amerika ya Ruguru n’Uburayi ku kigero cya 45%, bikazamuka ku gipimo cya 2,3 ku ijana guhera mu 2013, naho isoko rya Aziya rikaba 50.1%, rikamanuka ku gipimo cya 1,6% kuva mu 2013. Biteganijwe ko isoko ryihuza muri Aziya rizagaragaza amanota 1,6% yisoko ryisi.
Umuhuza Outlook kugeza 2024
Hariho amahirwe atabarika imbere muri uyu mwaka mushya, kandi terrain y'ejo hazaza ntiramenyekana. Ariko ikintu kimwe ntakekeranywa: ibikoresho bya elegitoroniki bizahora mubintu byingenzi mugutezimbere ikiremwamuntu. Ntibishoboka gusuzugura akamaro ko guhuza imbaraga nkimbaraga nshya.
Guhuza ibikorwa bizahinduka igice cyingenzi cyibihe bya digitale kandi bitange inkunga yingirakamaro kumurongo mugari wo guhanga udushya nkuko ikoranabuhanga ritera imbere. Guhuza imiyoboro bigiye kuba ngombwa mugutezimbere ubwenge bwubuhanga, interineti yibintu, no gukwirakwiza ibikoresho byubwenge. Dufite impamvu zifatika zo gutekereza ko tekinoroji ihujwe nibikoresho bya elegitoronike bizakomeza kwandika igice gishya gitangaje hamwe mumwaka utaha.
Igihe cyoherejwe: Gashyantare-19-2024